A men's college basketball game between Eastern Kentucky Colonels and North Alabama Lions scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread (EKU -4.5), and total points over/under thresholds (149.5 and 150.5).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (EKU win and North Alabama win) are stated to resolve to Yes, violating the principle of mutual exclusivity required for a valid binary market. This makes the market unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until clarification is obtained from Kalshi support. The resolution logic as stated is mathematically impossible. Polymarket's markets (moneyline, spread, over/under) follow standard sports betting conventions and are resolvable. Focus trading activity on Polymarket or await Kalshi correction.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both EKU win and North Alabama win resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No mutual exclusivity. Quote: 'If Eastern Kentucky wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If North Alabama wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either 'Eastern Kentucky Colonels' or 'North Alabama Lions' based on final score, with standard edge case handling (postponement = market stays open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split). Spread and over/under markets follow identical edge case logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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