TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears (W)
Volume:
$651
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between East Tennessee State Buccaneers and Mercer Bears scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Mercer win and East Tennessee St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a winner-prediction binary. Polymarket's structure is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the reliable reference. Kalshi's market description is malformed and creates data integrity risk. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a documentation error or a misclassified market type before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. ETSU win resolves to 'East Tennessee State Buccaneers', Mercer win resolves to 'Mercer Bears'. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states 'If Mercer wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If East Tennessee St. wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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