TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears
Volume:
$648,272
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between East Tennessee State Buccaneers and Mercer Bears scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 Mercer), and two over/under totals (151.5 and 150.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (ETSU win and Mercer win) are specified to resolve to the same state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. The market specification is broken. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are all logically sound and can be traded with confidence. Request Kalshi clarification before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to "East Tennessee State Buccaneers" if ETSU wins, or "Mercer Bears" if Mercer wins. Spread (-1.5 Mercer) resolves to Mercer if they win by 2+ points, otherwise ETSU. Totals (151.5 and 150.5) resolve Over/Under based on combined score threshold. All markets include postponement hold clause and 50-50 cancellation clause. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
- Kalshi: Moneyline specification states both outcomes resolve to Yes: "If East Tennessee St. wins... resolves to Yes" AND "If Mercer wins... resolves to Yes." This creates logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No. Key Quote: Both conditional branches map to identical resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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