TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Duquesne Dukes vs. Saint Louis Billikens
Volume:
$1,239,297
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Duquesne Dukes and Saint Louis Billikens scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at two different thresholds (-14.5 and -15.5), and the combined total points over/under 160.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Saint Louis win and Duquesne win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent market correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form due to the logical contradiction. The Polymarket moneyline, spread markets, and over/under are all internally consistent and can be traded with confidence. Confirm Kalshi corrects this specification error before any settlement attempt.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Saint Louis wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Duquesne wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome produces the same resolution. No mechanism exists to differentiate between the two teams' outcomes.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly specifies: 'If Duquesne wins, resolve to Duquesne Dukes' and 'If Saint Louis wins, resolve to Saint Louis Billikens'. Includes proper edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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