TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Duquesne Dukes vs. Fordham Rams (W)
Volume:
$39,403
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Duquesne Dukes and Fordham Rams scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Fordham. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents a logical tautology where both possible game outcomes (Duquesne win or Fordham win) resolve to Yes, making it effectively a cancellation-only market. Polymarket is a standard binary outcome market resolving to the winning team's name. The markets have incompatible settlement structures.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market will almost certainly resolve Yes (barring cancellation). Polymarket's market will resolve to one of two discrete outcomes. These serve different purposes: Kalshi is a bet on game completion, Polymarket is a bet on team selection. Treat as separate instruments.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tautological structure: both Fordham win and Duquesne win trigger Yes resolution. Only cancellation (with no makeup) would resolve No. Quote: 'If Fordham wins...resolves to Yes. If Duquesne wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Standard binary outcome: resolves to team name of winner. Cancellation with no makeup triggers 50-50 split. Quote: 'If Duquesne Dukes win, resolves to Duquesne Dukes. If Fordham Rams win, resolves to Fordham Rams.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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