TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Duquesne Dukes vs. Dayton Flyers
Volume:
$173,185
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball matchup between Duquesne Dukes and Dayton Flyers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, multiple spread variations (-5.5, -6.5, -7.5), and total points over/under 148.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Duquesne win and Dayton win) are specified to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. The Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets are logically consistent and resolvable based on final game score. Request clarification from Kalshi before engaging with their moneyline product for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Duquesne Dukes' if Duquesne wins, or 'Dayton Flyers' if Dayton wins. Spread markets (-5.5, -6.5, -7.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total (O/U 148.5) resolves based on combined points. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. All logic is mutually exclusive and resolvable.
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If Duquesne wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Dayton wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the same resolution outcome is assigned to mutually exclusive events, violating binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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