This event group covers the Scottish Premiership match between Dundee FC and Livingston FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Dundee FC win, Livingston FC win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Market structure divergence between platforms: Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes as separate markets with overlapping Yes resolution conditions, while Polymarket offers three independent binary markets with differentiated cancellation handling on the draw market.
Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, the draw market has unique cancellation behavior (resolves Yes if game is canceled). On Kalshi, the three markets appear to be mutually exclusive outcomes but the resolution language is ambiguous about whether multiple markets can resolve Yes. Confirm with each platform's support before trading. In normal play, both platforms should produce one winner, but cancellation scenarios differ.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Three separate markets presented for Livingston win, Dundee win, and Tie, each with identical resolution logic: 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates logical ambiguity—it is unclear whether exactly one market resolves Yes per game or if multiple can resolve Yes simultaneously. No explicit cancellation handling provided.
Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Dundee Win, Livingston Win, Draw) with explicit Yes/No resolution. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Dundee and Livingston markets to No, but the Draw market uniquely resolves to Yes. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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