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Duke Blue Devils vs. UCLA Bruins (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Duke Blue Devils vs. UCLA Bruins (W)

Volume:
$4,369,390

UCLA

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 29, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,028,322
N/A
N/A
$1,436,970
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Duke Blue Devils vs. UCLA Bruins (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Duke

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,303,742
N/A
N/A
$1,479,716
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event is for the WBB game between Duke Blue Devils and UCLA Bruins on March 29 at 3:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves to YES for any outcome (Duke win OR UCLA win), making the market logically unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. Polymarket correctly resolves to a specific winner (Duke Blue Devils or UCLA Bruins) based on the game result, with proper handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi — the market rules state it resolves YES if Duke wins AND YES if UCLA wins, which is logically impossible and indicates a critical error in market construction. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent winner-based resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves to YES regardless of outcome. The rules state 'If Duke wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If UCLA wins...then the market resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where every possible game outcome triggers a YES resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and indicates a critical construction error.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Market resolves to a specific winner outcome — 'Duke Blue Devils' if Duke wins, 'UCLA Bruins' if UCLA wins. Includes proper edge case handling: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.