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Duke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
kalshi
polymarket

Duke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Volume:
$1,728,620

Duke

 - Kalshi

Duke - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 25, 2026

Closed: Feb 24, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Duke

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$499,809
N/A
N/A
$398,741
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Notre Dame

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,095,220
N/A
N/A
$954,110
Settled
No
polymarket

Duke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59,701
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -17.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,029
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 139.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,264
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 142.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,043
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 140.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,555
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between Duke Blue Devils and Notre Dame Fighting Irish scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-17.5 Duke), and multiple over/under totals (139.5, 140.5, 142.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Notre Dame win and Duke win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline correctly maps each outcome to a distinct resolution label.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until clarification is received from the platform. The market as written violates basic binary logic. All other markets (Polymarket spread, totals) are internally consistent and should resolve based on final score including overtime.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Notre Dame wins = Yes; If Duke wins = Yes. This creates a tautology where any game outcome resolves to Yes, making the market logically impossible to settle. Quote: 'If Notre Dame wins the Duke at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Duke wins the Duke at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly specifies: If Duke wins = resolves to 'Duke Blue Devils'; If Notre Dame wins = resolves to 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish'. Spread and totals use standard threshold logic (Duke -17.5 requires 18+ point win; totals require 140/141/143+ combined points). Quote: 'If the Duke Blue Devils win, the market will resolve to "Duke Blue Devils". If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame Fighting Irish".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.