TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Duke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Volume:
$1,728,620
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Duke Blue Devils and Notre Dame Fighting Irish scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-17.5 Duke), and multiple over/under totals (139.5, 140.5, 142.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Notre Dame win and Duke win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline correctly maps each outcome to a distinct resolution label.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until clarification is received from the platform. The market as written violates basic binary logic. All other markets (Polymarket spread, totals) are internally consistent and should resolve based on final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Notre Dame wins = Yes; If Duke wins = Yes. This creates a tautology where any game outcome resolves to Yes, making the market logically impossible to settle. Quote: 'If Notre Dame wins the Duke at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Duke wins the Duke at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly specifies: If Duke wins = resolves to 'Duke Blue Devils'; If Notre Dame wins = resolves to 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish'. Spread and totals use standard threshold logic (Duke -17.5 requires 18+ point win; totals require 140/141/143+ combined points). Quote: 'If the Duke Blue Devils win, the market will resolve to "Duke Blue Devils". If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame Fighting Irish".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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