TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (W)
Volume:
$498,044
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Duke win or North Carolina win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's binary logic is sound and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the market logic is corrected by the platform. The current design guarantees Yes resolution regardless of game outcome, which violates basic prediction market principles. Polymarket is the only reliably resolvable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all design with clear resolution paths. Resolves to Duke Blue Devils if Duke wins, North Carolina Tar Heels if UNC wins. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market with logical flaw. Both Duke win and North Carolina win outcomes are mapped to Yes resolution, creating a tautology. Market will always resolve Yes regardless of actual game result. Key Quote: If Duke wins... then resolves to Yes. If North Carolina wins... then resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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