TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines
Volume:
$14,265,398
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Duke Blue Devils and Michigan Wolverines scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-2.5 Michigan), and two over/under totals (150.5 and 151.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Michigan win and Duke win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents meaningful settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. Use Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets as your primary resolution source. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on whether a No outcome exists or if this is a platform error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winning team name (Duke or Michigan). Spread resolves to Michigan if they win by 3+, otherwise Duke. Totals resolve Over/Under based on combined points. All markets: postponement keeps open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50. Source: NCAA.com.
- Kalshi: Market states 'If Michigan wins... resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Duke wins... resolves to Yes'. No explicit No outcome provided. This creates a logical impossibility where all game outcomes map to the same resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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