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Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines
polymarket
kalshi

Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines

Volume:
$14,265,398

Duke

 - Kalshi

Duke - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 9:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Duke

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,556,058
N/A
N/A
$3,671,162
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michigan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,873,001
N/A
N/A
$4,602,988
Settled
No
polymarket

Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$731,899
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 150.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,267
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,744
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 151.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,429
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Duke Blue Devils and Michigan Wolverines scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-2.5 Michigan), and two over/under totals (150.5 and 151.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Michigan win and Duke win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents meaningful settlement.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. Use Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets as your primary resolution source. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on whether a No outcome exists or if this is a platform error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winning team name (Duke or Michigan). Spread resolves to Michigan if they win by 3+, otherwise Duke. Totals resolve Over/Under based on combined points. All markets: postponement keeps open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50. Source: NCAA.com.
  • Kalshi: Market states 'If Michigan wins... resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Duke wins... resolves to Yes'. No explicit No outcome provided. This creates a logical impossibility where all game outcomes map to the same resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.