TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Duke Blue Devils vs. LSU Tigers (W)
Volume:
$2,319,924
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks the outcome of the Duke Blue Devils vs. LSU Tigers women's college basketball game scheduled for March 27, 2026, played at LSU's home venue. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with no alternative settlement conditions specified.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both Duke and LSU outcomes (logical contradiction), while Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Duke Blue Devils' or 'LSU Tigers' as a binary outcome. Kalshi's market is fundamentally unresolvable because it cannot simultaneously resolve YES for mutually exclusive events.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market for this event — it contains a critical logical error where both possible game outcomes trigger YES resolution, making it impossible to determine a valid settlement. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary resolution logic (Duke wins → 'Duke Blue Devils', LSU wins → 'LSU Tigers').Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to 'Duke Blue Devils' if Duke wins, or 'LSU Tigers' if LSU wins, with postponement and cancellation contingencies. Key quote: 'If the Duke Blue Devils win, the market will resolve to "Duke Blue Devils". If the LSU Tigers win, the market will resolve to "LSU Tigers".' This is standard binary sports settlement.
- Kalshi: Outlier (critical error): Resolves to YES if Duke wins AND resolves to YES if LSU wins, creating a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Duke wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger the same resolution, making settlement indeterminate.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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