TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ducks vs. Oilers
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 28 at 10:00PM ET: If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's margin-of-victory markets contain overlapping and ambiguous conditions that do not produce a single clear outcome. Polymarket's spread and moneyline markets use standard NHL resolution logic. Over/Under markets are unified across platforms.Hero Tip:
For margin betting, rely on Polymarket's spread (Oilers -1.5 = Oilers win by 2+) and moneyline (winner only). Disregard Kalshi's four-condition margin structure as it lacks a clear single resolution path. For totals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), both platforms are consistent: count combined goals including overtime and shootout adjustments.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four separate conditions (Edmonton >1.5, Anaheim >1.5, Anaheim >2.5, Edmonton >2.5) all resolve to Yes. This creates logical overlap: a 3-goal Edmonton win satisfies both the >1.5 and >2.5 conditions. No clear single outcome is defined. Key Quote: 'If Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes. If Edmonton wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Spread market uses standard -1.5 threshold: Oilers win by 2+ goals = Oilers, otherwise Ducks. Moneyline resolves to winner only. Over/Under markets use fixed combined-goal thresholds (5, 6, 7, 8 goals). All outcomes are unambiguous. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Oilers if the Oilers win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Ducks.'
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