TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Drake Bulldogs vs. Evansville Aces (W)
Volume:
$12,115
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Drake Bulldogs and Evansville Aces scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Drake win and Evansville win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and meaningless. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-takes-all logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The logic guarantees a Yes resolution no matter which team wins, eliminating any real market uncertainty. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Defective logic: Both Drake win and Evansville win resolve to Yes. This creates a guaranteed Yes outcome with no actual binary choice. Quote: If Evansville wins...resolves to Yes. If Drake wins...resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Standard binary logic: Drake win resolves to Drake Bulldogs; Evansville win resolves to Evansville Aces. Includes proper edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: If Drake wins, resolves to Drake Bulldogs. If Evansville wins, resolves to Evansville Aces.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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