TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
Volume:
$7,997
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and Virtus.pro at ESL One Birmingham Group B, scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual game winners, and granular in-game metrics (kills, barracks, Roshan, first blood, day/night cycle, and multi-kill achievements).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match outcome market maps all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Xtreme Gaming win, Virtus.pro win, tie) to Yes, making it logically impossible to resolve. Polymarket uses standard binary logic (team A vs team B) with 50-50 fallback for ties/cancellations.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's match outcome market. It is unresolvable by design. All Polymarket game-level markets (Game 1 Winner, Game 2 Winner, kill totals, barracks, Roshan, first blood, day/night, multi-kills) have clear Yes/No or team-based logic with consistent edge-case handling (50-50 for no play, forfeit, remake, or >7-day delay).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Match outcome market states: 'If Xtreme Gaming wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes. If Virtus.pro wins... resolves to Yes.' All three outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical contradiction. The market cannot distinguish between winners.
- Polymarket: Match winner resolves to 'Xtreme Gaming' if Xtreme Gaming wins, 'Virtus.pro' if Virtus.pro wins. Tie, cancellation, or >7-day delay without a winner resolves 50-50. Game-specific markets (Game 1 Winner, Game 2 Winner, kill totals, barracks, Roshan, first blood, day/night, multi-kills) all use binary Yes/No logic with consistent 50-50 fallback for non-play scenarios (forfeit, disqualification, walkover, series already decided, remake).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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