TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B

Volume:
$130,462

Natus Vincere

 - Kalshi

Natus Vincere - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 18, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Natus Vincere

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$441
$751
N/A
N/A
$746
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,940
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xtreme Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,836
$1,157
N/A
N/A
$1,132
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$512
$519
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and Natus Vincere scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET as part of DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner, with resolution sourced from official broadcast and statistics platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Natus Vincere win, Xtreme Gaming win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket defines coherent binary outcomes across three separate markets with clear tie/cancellation handling.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market until resolution logic is corrected. Polymarket's structure is sound: trade the Match Winner market for overall result, Game 1 for first game outcome, and Game 2 for second game outcome. All three use credible official sources with fallback protocols.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Natus Vincere wins, Yes if Xtreme Gaming wins, or Yes if Tie occurs. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome triggers the same resolution. Quote: 'If Natus Vincere wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Xtreme Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with binary outcomes: Match Winner resolves to team name or 50-50 (for cancellation, tie, or 7+ day delay); Game 1 Winner resolves to team name or 50-50 (if not completed); Game 2 Winner resolves to team name or 50-50 (if not completed). Sources: Dotabuff (match), Twitch ESL_Dota2 (games), with 2-hour credible reporting fallback. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Xtreme Gaming if Xtreme Gaming win the match... This market will resolve to Natus Vincere if Natus Vincere win the match... If the match is canceled... this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.