TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B
Volume:
$181,455
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-3 Dota 2 match between Virtus.pro and Pipsqueak+4 in the PREMIER SERIES Group B, scheduled for April 5, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT. Markets span series outcome, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, barracks, Roshan, rampages, ultra kills), and day/night cycle timing.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi's markets (items 1-2) resolve to YES for ANY match outcome (win or loss), making them logically incoherent. Polymarket's markets (items 3-136) resolve based on actual match results, game statistics, and in-game events with clear binary or numerical outcomes.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's match outcome markets are unresolvable as written—both YES conditions are identical and cover all possible outcomes. Do not trade Kalshi items 1-2. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and follow standard esports settlement logic tied to DotaBuff official records. Trade only on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Both Kalshi markets (items 1-2) contain identical resolution logic: 'If Pipsqueak+4 wins... then YES' AND 'If Virtus.pro wins... then YES.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of match outcome, creating a logical contradiction. There is no NO resolution path. Key quote: 'If Pipsqueak+4 wins PREMIER SERIES 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If Virtus.pro wins PREMIER SERIES 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard esports settlement: Polymarket's 134 markets (items 3-136) resolve based on actual match outcomes, game-by-game results, in-game statistics (kills, barracks, Roshan kills, day/night cycle timing), and player achievements (rampages, ultra kills). All markets reference DotaBuff as the official resolution source with a 2-hour publication window. Key quote: 'The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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