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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B

Volume:
$344,544

Tundra Esports

 - Kalshi

Tundra Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 17, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tundra Esports

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
$5,633
$14,716
N/A
N/A
$6,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Xtreme Gaming

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
$6,188
$4,994
N/A
N/A
$2,904
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$149,574
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Match Winner

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
$32,792
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,469
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a Dota 2 best-of-two (BO2) match between Tundra Esports and Xtreme Gaming scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET as part of DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner, with resolution sourced from official tournament records and broadcast platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria reference tournament-level outcomes (DreamLeague 2026 winner) rather than the specific BO2 match, creating a logical contradiction where both teams cannot simultaneously win the tournament. Polymarket correctly scopes to the specific match with coherent binary outcomes. Additionally, source hierarchy differs between platforms (Dotabuff vs. Twitch vs. credible reporting consensus).Hero tip: Kalshi markets are fundamentally unresolvable due to logical contradiction in their stated criteria. Focus trading activity on Polymarket markets only. For Polymarket: monitor Dotabuff for official match result within 24 hours of the scheduled February 17 start time. If the match is not played, canceled, or delayed beyond 7 days without play, expect automatic 50-50 resolution. If only one game completes, that game resolves to the winner; the incomplete game resolves 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both markets state: 'If Xtreme Gaming wins DreamLeague 2026... then resolve to Yes' AND 'If Tundra Esports wins DreamLeague 2026... then resolve to Yes.' This is logically impossible—only one team can win the tournament. The criteria conflate a single group-stage BO2 match with the entire tournament outcome, making these markets unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Three coherent markets: (1) Match winner resolves to team name based on BO2 result, sourced from Dotabuff; (2) Game 1 winner resolves to team name, sourced from Twitch with 12-hour fallback to credible reporting; (3) Game 2 winner resolves to team name, same source as Game 1. All tie/cancel/delay scenarios resolve to 50-50. Clear scope and source hierarchy.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.