TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
Volume:
$344,544
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Dota 2 best-of-two (BO2) match between Tundra Esports and Xtreme Gaming scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET as part of DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner, with resolution sourced from official tournament records and broadcast platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria reference tournament-level outcomes (DreamLeague 2026 winner) rather than the specific BO2 match, creating a logical contradiction where both teams cannot simultaneously win the tournament. Polymarket correctly scopes to the specific match with coherent binary outcomes. Additionally, source hierarchy differs between platforms (Dotabuff vs. Twitch vs. credible reporting consensus).Hero Tip:
Kalshi markets are fundamentally unresolvable due to logical contradiction in their stated criteria. Focus trading activity on Polymarket markets only. For Polymarket: monitor Dotabuff for official match result within 24 hours of the scheduled February 17 start time. If the match is not played, canceled, or delayed beyond 7 days without play, expect automatic 50-50 resolution. If only one game completes, that game resolves to the winner; the incomplete game resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both markets state: 'If Xtreme Gaming wins DreamLeague 2026... then resolve to Yes' AND 'If Tundra Esports wins DreamLeague 2026... then resolve to Yes.' This is logically impossible—only one team can win the tournament. The criteria conflate a single group-stage BO2 match with the entire tournament outcome, making these markets unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three coherent markets: (1) Match winner resolves to team name based on BO2 result, sourced from Dotabuff; (2) Game 1 winner resolves to team name, sourced from Twitch with 12-hour fallback to credible reporting; (3) Game 2 winner resolves to team name, same source as Game 1. All tie/cancel/delay scenarios resolve to 50-50. Clear scope and source hierarchy.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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