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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Volume:
$4,029

Team Spirit

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 27, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 5:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Spirit

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,943
N/A
N/A
$1,666
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

paiN Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,134
N/A
N/A
$1,063
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$938
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 85

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-2 (BO2) Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and paiN Gaming at ESL One Birmingham Group B, scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, day/night cycle timing, objective control), and specific play events (first blood, ultra kills, rampages).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match outcome market (items 1-3) contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (tie, Team Spirit win, paiN Gaming win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other markets (Polymarket game winners, statistics, events) are consistent and use DotaBuff as the authoritative source.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match outcome market. For all other markets, resolution depends on the match being played and completed by March 29, 2026 (7 days from scheduled date). If the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or ends in a forfeit/walkover before completion, most markets resolve 50-50. Use official DotaBuff data as the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion, credible reporting and video evidence are acceptable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market (items 1-3) states: 'If Tie wins... then Yes. If Team Spirit wins... then Yes. If paiN Gaming wins... then Yes.' All three outcomes map to identical resolution, creating a logical impossibility. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
  • Polymarket & Primary Match Market: Match outcome market resolves to 'Team Spirit' or 'paiN Gaming' based on actual winner. Tie, cancellation, or delay beyond 7 days resolves to 50-50. This is logically consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.