Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Critical divergence points:

• Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's two markets (Kalshi #1 and #2) both resolve YES if the match is played at all, regardless of winner or game results. The resolution logic is: 'If Team Falcons wins ESL One Birmingham 2026: PARIVISION vs. Team Falcons Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If PARIVISION wins ESL One Birmingham 2026: PARIVISION vs. Team Falcons Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means both markets resolve YES in all scenarios where the match is completed, making them outcome-agnostic binary match-occurrence bets.
• Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket's 68 markets resolve on specific in-game metrics and events: total kills per game (thresholds from 33.5 to 64.5), Roshan kills, barracks destruction, rampages, ultra kills, first blood, daytime/nighttime cycle timing, and match/game winners. Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to official Dotabuff data or credible video evidence. Markets resolve 50-50 if games are not played, forfeited, remade, or delayed beyond 7 days. Polymarket explicitly states 'If Game X is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game X is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50,' creating outcome-dependent resolution.