TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
Volume:
$68,389
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-two Dota 2 match between MOUZ and Execration scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET as part of DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B. Three related markets track the overall match outcome, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three granular, outcome-specific markets with detailed edge-case logic and dual resolution sources. Kalshi defines a single binary market that conflates all outcomes into Yes, with no explicit source or edge-case rules, creating scope and interpretability mismatch.Hero Tip:
Polymarket offers clearer, more tradeable markets with explicit source hierarchy and edge-case handling. Kalshi's single Yes-resolution market is ambiguous and unsuitable for directional bets; seek clarification on whether cancellation/delay/tie trigger Yes or No before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Match outcome resolves to MOUZ or Execration, or 50-50 for cancellation/tie/delay >7 days/pre-match forfeit. (2) Game 1 resolves to winner or 50-50 if not completed or match canceled/delayed >7 days. (3) Game 2 resolves to winner or 50-50 if not completed or match canceled/delayed >7 days. Primary source: Dotabuff (match) and Twitch (games); fallback to credible reporting + video within 2 hours. Key Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves to Yes if Execration wins, MOUZ wins, or Tie occurs. No explicit cancellation, delay, or forfeit handling. No resolution source specified. Key Quote: 'If Execration wins DreamLeague 2026: Execration vs. MOUZ Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If MOUZ wins... If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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