TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Trending

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A

Volume:
$70,821
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between GamerLegion and Zero Tenacity in the PREMIER SERIES Group A, initially scheduled for April 4 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against GamerLegion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on the match outcome (either team winning), while Polymarket resolves on individual game winners and specific in-game events. These are logically distinct markets that cannot coexist under unified settlement.

Hero Tip:

Kalshi bettors are wagering on the series winner (BO3 match outcome). Polymarket bettors are wagering on individual game outcomes, in-game mechanics (day/night cycles, Roshan kills, barracks destruction), and kill counts. A Kalshi YES resolution does not determine any Polymarket game-level outcome. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket positions hedge each other.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers only two binary markets—one resolving YES if GamerLegion wins the series, another resolving YES if Zero Tenacity wins. Both markets cannot resolve YES simultaneously. Kalshi explicitly states 'If GamerLegion wins PREMIER SERIES 2026: Zero Tenacity vs. GamerLegion Dota 2 match... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Zero Tenacity wins PREMIER SERIES 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: both markets cannot both resolve YES, yet Kalshi's wording does not clarify mutual exclusivity or which market is the canonical series-winner market.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 30+ granular markets covering series outcome (BO3 winner), individual game winners (Game 1, 2, 3), in-game events (First Blood, Rampage, Ultra Kill, Roshan kills, barracks destruction, day/night cycle timing), and kill-count over/unders across multiple thresholds. Polymarket explicitly states 'This market refers to the Dota 2 match between GamerLegion and Zero Tenacity in the PREMIER SERIES Group A' for the series outcome, and separately defines Game 1, Game 2, and Game 3 winner markets with independent resolution criteria. Polymarket's scope is fundamentally broader and game-level granular, whereas Kalshi's scope is series-level only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.