TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Volume:
$1,746,868
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Dota 2 best-of-three match between BetBoom Team and Team Spirit in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets span match outcomes, individual game winners, handicaps, and granular in-game statistics (kills, Roshan kills, barracks destruction, ultra kills, rampages, day/night cycle timing, and first blood).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi defines resolution only at the map level (map 2 winner) without addressing forfeits, remakes, cancellations, or delays. Polymarket provides exhaustive edge-case logic (50-50 for forfeits, walkovers, delays >7 days, incomplete games, and remakes) and a consistent 2-hour DotaBuff publication window. This creates settlement ambiguity for Kalshi if the match does not proceed normally.Hero Tip:
Kalshi map markets lack explicit forfeit and remake handling—a critical gap. Polymarket markets are fully specified with 50-50 fallbacks for all non-completion scenarios. For maximum clarity and auditability, trade Polymarket markets. If you hold Kalshi positions, verify the match completes without delay or forfeit before expiration.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if BetBoom wins map 2 OR Team Spirit wins map 2 in the PGL Wallachia 2026 match scheduled Mar 13, 2026. No explicit handling of forfeits, remakes, cancellations, or delays. Quote: 'If BetBoom Team wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Spirit wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes.' (No edge cases defined.)
- Polymarket: Resolves on series winner, game winners, and in-game events with comprehensive edge-case logic. Cancellations, delays >7 days, forfeits, walkovers, and incomplete games resolve 50-50. Remakes resolve based on the remade game only. 2-hour DotaBuff publication window; credible reporting fallback. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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