TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
Volume:
$152,094
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between BetBoom Team and Aurora in DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A, scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner, with resolution sourced from official broadcast and match data platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides granular match-level resolution with explicit source (Twitch) and fallback logic, while Kalshi references only tournament-level outcome without match-specific sources or edge-case handling. This creates scope and source fragility risk.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is tournament-outcome dependent, not match-outcome dependent. A team can lose this match and still win DreamLeague, or win this match and be eliminated later. Polymarket directly resolves on match result. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will settle identically. For Polymarket, if Twitch does not publish within 12 hours, fallback to credible reporting introduces discretion—document the source used at settlement time.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Match winner (and Game 1/2 winners) resolve based on official Twitch broadcast (https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2). If Twitch does not publish results within 12 hours, credible reporting and video evidence may be used. Forfeits/walkovers before match start = 50-50; mid-match walkover = winner determined. Cancellation or delay beyond 7 days without play = 50-50. Key quote: 'The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. However, if https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2 has not published final results within 12 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.'
- Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if either Aurora or BetBoom wins DreamLeague 2026 (the tournament), contingent on the Feb 16 match being played. No explicit match-level source, tie-breaking logic, or forfeit handling specified. Key quote: 'If Aurora wins DreamLeague 2026: Aurora vs. BetBoom Team Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If BetBoom Team wins DreamLeague 2026: Aurora vs. BetBoom Team Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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