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24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A

Volume:
$152,094

Aurora

 - Kalshi

Aurora - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 16, 2026

Closed: Feb 16, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aurora

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,010
$4,841
N/A
N/A
$3,714
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BetBoom Team

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,037
$2,751
N/A
N/A
$2,007
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between BetBoom Team and Aurora in DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A, scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner, with resolution sourced from official broadcast and match data platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides granular match-level resolution with explicit source (Twitch) and fallback logic, while Kalshi references only tournament-level outcome without match-specific sources or edge-case handling. This creates scope and source fragility risk.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is tournament-outcome dependent, not match-outcome dependent. A team can lose this match and still win DreamLeague, or win this match and be eliminated later. Polymarket directly resolves on match result. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will settle identically. For Polymarket, if Twitch does not publish within 12 hours, fallback to credible reporting introduces discretion—document the source used at settlement time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match winner (and Game 1/2 winners) resolve based on official Twitch broadcast (https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2). If Twitch does not publish results within 12 hours, credible reporting and video evidence may be used. Forfeits/walkovers before match start = 50-50; mid-match walkover = winner determined. Cancellation or delay beyond 7 days without play = 50-50. Key quote: 'The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. However, if https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2 has not published final results within 12 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.'
  • Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if either Aurora or BetBoom wins DreamLeague 2026 (the tournament), contingent on the Feb 16 match being played. No explicit match-level source, tie-breaking logic, or forfeit handling specified. Key quote: 'If Aurora wins DreamLeague 2026: Aurora vs. BetBoom Team Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If BetBoom Team wins DreamLeague 2026: Aurora vs. BetBoom Team Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.