TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dogecoin Up or Down - March 31, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 31, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,574

$0.09 or above

 - Kalshi

$0.09 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$0.09 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$907
N/A
N/A
$658
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.085 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 31, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.095 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.1 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.175 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.18 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.185 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.005 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.01 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.015 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.02 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.025 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.03 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.035 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.04 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.045 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.05 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.055 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.06 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.065 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.07 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.075 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.08 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.105 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group tracks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down at a specific moment on March 31, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) with a 60-second average. The two platforms measure different price sources and employ fundamentally different resolution mechanics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different price sources (Binance DOGE/USDT candle vs. CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI index) and incompatible resolution mechanics (binary candle comparison vs. 37 absolute price thresholds). This creates settlement value mismatch risk.Hero tip: These are not equivalent markets. Polymarket measures intracandle momentum on Binance; Kalshi measures absolute price levels from CF Benchmarks. Exchange basis risk and index methodology differences could cause divergent outcomes. Choose your platform based on which price source you trust.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down based on Binance DOGE/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves UP if close price >= open price for the candle beginning at March 31, 5 PM ET. Resolves DOWN otherwise. Source: Binance spot trading data displayed on the 1H chart.
  • Kalshi: 37 separate Yes/No markets, each tied to a distinct price threshold (0.0099999 through 0.1899999) of CF Benchmarks' DOGEUSD_RTI. Each market resolves Yes if the 60-second average of the index before 5 PM EDT exceeds its threshold. Source: CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.