TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Devils vs. Predators
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 26 at 8:00PM ET: If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils". If the Predators win, the market will resolve to "Predators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for over/under markets. Kalshi markets resolve YES if the threshold is exceeded (e.g., 'over 7.5' means 8+ goals), while Polymarket markets resolve to 'Over' if the threshold is met or exceeded (e.g., 'O/U 7.5' resolves Over at 8+ goals). However, a critical discrepancy exists: Kalshi's market 2 ('over 3.5') and Polymarket's O/U 4.5 market have misaligned thresholds (3.5 vs 4.5), creating potential settlement conflicts for outcomes between 4 and 5 combined goals.Hero Tip:
If the final score results in 4 or 5 combined goals, Kalshi's 'over 3.5' market will resolve YES while Polymarket's O/U 4.5 resolves Under — a direct contradiction. Avoid arbitrage strategies that assume perfect correlation across these platforms for low-scoring outcomes. Moneyline and spread markets align consistently across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 8 separate over/under markets with thresholds at 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if combined goals exceed the stated threshold. The lowest threshold (2.5) means any game with 3+ goals triggers a YES resolution. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 total combined goals are scored... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 5 markets covering O/U 4.5, 6.5, 7.5, 5.5, plus a moneyline and two spread markets. Over/under markets resolve to 'Over' if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 4.5 resolves Over at 5+ goals). The lowest threshold is 4.5. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Devils and Predators combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
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