TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Devils vs. Hurricanes
Volume:
$2,045,945
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL matchup between the New Jersey Devils and Carolina Hurricanes scheduled for March 28 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (head-to-head winner), total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), allowing traders to express views on both the outcome and scoring intensity of the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on moneyline winner (either team winning resolves to YES), while Polymarket resolves on multiple distinct markets: moneyline (Devils vs. Hurricanes), spread (Hurricanes -1.5), and four over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Kalshi's binary structure is logically incoherent—both outcomes cannot resolve YES.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written: it states both 'If NJ Devils wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If CAR Hurricanes wins...resolves to Yes', meaning every possible outcome resolves YES. Do not trade Kalshi. Polymarket offers five distinct, resolvable markets with clear thresholds and sources. Trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction. Both market conditions state 'resolves to Yes'—'If NJ Devils wins the New Jersey at Carolina professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If CAR Hurricanes wins the New Jersey at Carolina professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome (Devils win or Hurricanes win) resolves YES, making the market unresolvable and unhedgeable.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate, logically coherent markets: (1) Moneyline (Devils vs. Hurricanes) resolving to 'Devils' or 'Hurricanes' based on winner; (2) Spread (Hurricanes -1.5) resolving to 'Hurricanes' if they win by 2+ goals, else 'Devils'; (3) Over/Under 4.5 (resolves Over if combined score ≥5); (4) Over/Under 5.5 (resolves Over if combined score ≥6); (5) Over/Under 6.5 (resolves Over if combined score ≥7); (6) Over/Under 7.5 (resolves Over if combined score ≥8). All source final score from NHL.com as of March 28, 5:00 PM ET, with shootout goal adjustment rule applied uniformly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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