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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis
kalshi
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis

Volume:
$206,508

Over 1.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 13, 2026

Closed: Apr 13, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,502
N/A
N/A
$15,815
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,686
N/A
N/A
$15,484
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlético San Luis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,754
N/A
N/A
$10,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,491
N/A
N/A
$6,176
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Liga MX soccer match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Atlético San Luis scheduled for April 12, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/loss/draw) on Polymarket and total goals over various thresholds on Kalshi, all measured within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms measure the same match within identical temporal boundaries (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and rely on official Liga MX statistics as the primary resolution source.Primary resolution logic: Official Liga MX statistics (ligamx.net); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (Toluca win, San Luis win, or draw) determined by goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time only
  • Total goals threshold markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) resolve Yes if combined goals exceed threshold within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from all resolution calculations
  • Official Liga MX statistics are the primary source; credible reporting consensus applies only if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Polymarket markets remain open until the match is completed; Kalshi markets follow the same principle, with resolution deferred to the rescheduled date.
  • Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket outcome markets (Toluca win, San Luis win) resolve to No; Polymarket draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi total goals markets are not explicitly addressed but would logically resolve based on zero goals scored.
  • Official Stats Delay: If Liga MX does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing: Resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match on April 12, 2026. Official statistics must be published or consensus reached within 2 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.