TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis
Volume:
$206,508
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga MX soccer match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Atlético San Luis scheduled for April 12, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/loss/draw) on Polymarket and total goals over various thresholds on Kalshi, all measured within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms measure the same match within identical temporal boundaries (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and rely on official Liga MX statistics as the primary resolution source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX statistics (ligamx.net); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome (Toluca win, San Luis win, or draw) determined by goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time only
- Total goals threshold markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) resolve Yes if combined goals exceed threshold within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from all resolution calculations
- Official Liga MX statistics are the primary source; credible reporting consensus applies only if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Polymarket markets remain open until the match is completed; Kalshi markets follow the same principle, with resolution deferred to the rescheduled date.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket outcome markets (Toluca win, San Luis win) resolve to No; Polymarket draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi total goals markets are not explicitly addressed but would logically resolve based on zero goals scored.
- Official Stats Delay: If Liga MX does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match on April 12, 2026. Official statistics must be published or consensus reached within 2 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.