TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna - Halftime Result
Volume:
$9,285
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the La Liga match between Deportivo Alavés and CA Osasuna scheduled for April 5, 2026. Markets track whether Alavés leads, Osasuna leads, or the teams draw at the end of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution depends on official match statistics from the governing body or credible reporting consensus.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different structural frameworks to represent the same three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes. Polymarket presents three independent binary markets, while Kalshi frames them as three separate Yes/No markets covering exhaustive possibilities. Both resolve to the same underlying halftime result, but the market architecture differs.Hero Tip:
Both platforms will resolve consistently on the actual halftime scoreline (Alavés goal count vs Osasuna goal count after 45 minutes plus stoppage time). The divergence is structural, not substantive. Traders should focus on predicting the halftime result itself rather than worrying about platform differences. Ensure you do not double-count exposure by backing multiple outcomes on the same platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets: (1) Draw at halftime Yes/No, (2) Alavés leading Yes/No, (3) Osasuna leading Yes/No. Each market resolves independently based on the halftime scoreline. Resolution source is official statistics from governing body or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves to No.
- Kalshi: Offers three separate Yes/No markets structured as exhaustive outcomes: (1) Alavés wins first half, (2) Osasuna wins first half, (3) Tie in first half. Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Implicitly, exactly one of the three must resolve Yes. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.