TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna
polymarket
kalshi

Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna

Volume:
$2,282,004

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 6, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$226,593
N/A
N/A
$97,740
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$186,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Osasuna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$814,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Osasuna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$363,922
N/A
N/A
$141,709
Settled
No
polymarket

Deportivo Alavés

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alaves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279,249
N/A
N/A
$165,788
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, April 5, 2026 between Deportivo Alavés and CA Osasuna.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Osasuna win, Tie, Alaves win) are listed as separate resolution conditions that each resolve to Yes, making it impossible for the market to function as a binary contract. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (one per outcome). This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they are unresolvable as written. The platform appears to have published three mutually exclusive outcomes as a single market contract, which violates basic prediction market logic. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are the only tradeable contracts in this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets, one for each outcome (Alaves win, Draw, Osasuna win). Each market resolves YES or NO independently based on the actual match result. Resolution source is official La Liga statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayed. Cancellation without makeup resolves NO for win markets and YES for draw market.
  • Kalshi: Outlier — critical structural failure: Kalshi lists three mutually exclusive outcomes (Osasuna win, Tie, Alaves win) as separate resolution conditions within what appears to be a single market, each stating 'resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: only one outcome can occur, so only one condition can be true, yet the market structure suggests all three are independent Yes/No triggers. The market is unresolvable as written and contains no cancellation or postponement rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.