TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Denver Pioneers vs. Kansas City Roos (W)
Volume:
$96,419
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Denver Pioneers and Kansas City Roos scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The markets predict which team will win the matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Kansas City win OR Denver win) resolve identically to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a competitive prediction. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with distinct outcomes for each team.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because every possible game result produces the same resolution. Before trading, contact Kalshi to confirm whether the intended logic is Yes/No based on whether the game occurs, or if the resolution criteria were incorrectly specified. Polymarket's market is tradeable and clear.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If Kansas City wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Denver wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two teams.
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner determination: 'If Denver Pioneers win, resolves to Denver Pioneers. If Kansas City Roos win, resolves to Kansas City Roos.' Clear differentiation with postponement and cancellation edge cases defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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