TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears
Volume:
$321,484
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Delaware State Hornets and Morgan State Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-5.5 Morgan State), and multiple over/under totals (143.5, 145.5, 146.5, 147.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Morgan State wins OR Delaware State wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. The market structure is broken and cannot settle correctly regardless of game outcome. Polymarket offers consistent, resolvable markets for this matchup across all three market types (moneyline, spread, totals).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Delaware State Hornets or Morgan State Bears). Spread resolves to Morgan State Bears if they win by 6+, otherwise Delaware State Hornets. Totals resolve Over/Under based on combined score thresholds (143.5, 145.5, 146.5, 147.5). All markets: postponement keeps open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Morgan St. wins...resolves to Yes. If Delaware St. wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction with no valid No resolution path. No guidance on postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: 'If Morgan St. wins the Delaware St. at Morgan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Delaware St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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