TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Nurnberg Ice Tigers vs. Eisbaeren Berlin
Volume:
$4,050
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between Nurnberg Ice Tigers and Eisbaeren Berlin scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both reference this same game, but differ fundamentally in their resolution logic and scope.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, mapping both possible outcomes (Nuremberg win and Berlin win) to Yes. Polymarket uses a standard binary winner-take-all structure. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be the reference for this event. The contradiction in Kalshi suggests a template error or copy-paste mistake in market creation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner resolution. Resolves to team name of winner. Handles postponements (market remains open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Shootout outcomes count as one goal added to winner's score. Source: penny-del.org official schedule.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. States both 'If Nuremberg wins, resolves to Yes' and 'If Berlin wins, resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes cannot map to the same resolution value in a binary market, making the market logically unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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