TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Loewen Frankfurt vs. Nurnberg Ice Tigers
Volume:
$123
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between Loewen Frankfurt and Nurnberg Ice Tigers scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket correctly specifies team-specific resolutions and includes cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market based on the published terms—the logic is internally contradictory and will fail at settlement. Polymarket's market is properly structured. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a documentation error or a genuine market design flaw before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both team outcomes (Nuremberg wins OR Frankfurt wins) resolve to Yes. This is a logical impossibility for a binary prediction market and suggests either a specification error or a fundamentally broken market design.
- Polymarket: Resolves to the name of the winning team (Loewen Frankfurt or Nurnberg Ice Tigers). Includes explicit cancellation protocol: if game is canceled with no make-up, resolves 50-50. Includes shootout scoring rule.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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