TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Schwenninger Wild Wings
Volume:
$3,881
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional ice hockey match in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) between Koelner Haie and Schwenninger Wild Wings scheduled for March 27, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both offer binary outcomes based on the final game result, with different resolution mechanics for edge cases.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Kalshi states the market resolves YES if either team wins, which means it resolves YES for all possible outcomes, whereas Polymarket correctly establishes a binary outcome where one team winning resolves to that team's name.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on the Kalshi market. Its resolution criteria are contradictory—it claims to resolve YES regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to determine a NO outcome. Polymarket's market is the only logically sound option for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket establishes proper binary logic where the market resolves to the winning team's name (either 'Koelner Haie' or 'Schwenninger Wild Wings'), with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If Koelner Haie win, the market will resolve to Koelner Haie. If Schwenninger Wild Wings win, the market will resolve to Schwenninger Wild Wings.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi contains a logical contradiction stating the market resolves YES if Schwenninger Wild Wings wins AND also resolves YES if Kolner Haie wins, leaving no scenario for a NO resolution. Key quote: 'If Schwenninger Wild Wings wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Kolner Haie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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