This event group covers a professional ice hockey match between Koelner Haie and Eisbaeren Berlin in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this single game, with different resolution structures across platforms.
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Eisbären Berlin wins OR Kolner Haie wins) are specified to resolve to YES, which is impossible in a binary YES/NO market. Polymarket's categorical structure avoids this contradiction entirely.
Hero Tip:
Polymarket's market is resolvable as specified. Kalshi's market has a data integrity failure in its resolution logic and should not be traded until the contradiction is clarified by the platform. Request explicit confirmation of whether Kalshi intends one outcome to resolve NO, or if the market will be canceled.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Categorical winner-based resolution. Resolves to team name of winner. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout outcomes normalized to final score. Source: penny-del.org official schedule.
Kalshi: Binary YES/NO structure with contradictory logic. Both outcomes specified to resolve YES: 'If Eisbären Berlin wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kolner Haie wins... resolves to Yes'. No resolution path for NO outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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