This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between Koelner Haie and Augsburger Panther scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
Kalshi's market definition contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Augsburger Panther win and Kolner Haie win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable as a binary contract.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until clarification is provided. Polymarket's market is logically consistent and resolvable. The Kalshi market appears to have a documentation or structural error that prevents proper settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary outcome structure. Koelner Haie victory resolves to Koelner Haie; Augsburger Panther victory resolves to Augsburger Panther. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
Kalshi: Logically contradictory binary definition. Both Augsburger Panther win and Kolner Haie win are stated to resolve to Yes. No resolution path exists for No outcome. This violates fundamental binary market logic and makes settlement impossible without clarification.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.