This event group covers a professional ice hockey match in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) between Iserlohn Roosters and ERC Ingolstadt scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iserlohn Roosters win OR ERC Ingolstadt win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes). This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the market definition is corrected. The platform must specify which team's victory resolves to Yes and which resolves to No. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be used as the reference standard.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: Iserlohn Roosters victory resolves to Iserlohn Roosters, ERC Ingolstadt victory resolves to ERC Ingolstadt. Includes clear edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Final score includes overtime and shootout adjustments (shootout winner gets +1 goal).
Kalshi: Defective binary structure: Both possible outcomes (Iserlohn Roosters wins OR ERC Ingolstadt wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No edge case handling specified for postponement or cancellation. Market cannot distinguish between the two teams' victories.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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