TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Iserlohn Roosters vs. EHC Red Bull Muenchen
Volume:
$0
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between Iserlohn Roosters and EHC Red Bull Muenchen scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single game, with different resolution structures across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iserlohn win and Red Bull Munich win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
This Kalshi market as documented is broken. Before trading, confirm the actual resolution terms directly on Kalshi's platform. The Polymarket binary structure (Roosters vs. Muenchen) is logically sound and should be your reference. If Kalshi truly resolves both outcomes to Yes, it represents an arbitrage opportunity but also suggests a documentation or platform error that may be corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolution: market resolves to 'Iserlohn Roosters' if they win, or 'EHC Red Bull Muenchen' if they win. Handles edge cases: postponements keep market open until completion; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout wins add one goal to winning team's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Market structure states both possible outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Iserlohn Roosters wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Red Bull Munich wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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