TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Grizzlys Wolfsburg vs. ERC Ingolstadt
Volume:
$1,844
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional ice hockey match in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) between Grizzlys Wolfsburg and ERC Ingolstadt scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Ingolstadt win and Wolfsburg win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Kalshi's market definition is broken and cannot be settled fairly. Request clarification from Kalshi or avoid the market entirely until corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Wolfsburg win resolves to Wolfsburg, Ingolstadt win resolves to Ingolstadt. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout goals counted as one goal added to winner's score.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: Both Ingolstadt victory and Wolfsburg victory are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution state for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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