TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: ERC Ingolstadt vs. EHC Red Bull Muenchen
Volume:
$9,998
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional ice hockey match in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) between ERC Ingolstadt and EHC Red Bull Munich, scheduled for March 27, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets around the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Red Bull Munich win and ERC Ingolstadt win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken: both teams winning cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. Contact Kalshi support immediately to determine if this is a drafting error. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be preferred for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all design. Resolves to the name of the winning team. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout goals are counted toward final score. Source: Official DEL schedule.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory Yes/No structure. Both possible outcomes (Red Bull Munich wins OR ERC Ingolstadt wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to No. This violates binary market semantics and makes resolution impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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