TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: ERC Ingolstadt vs. Adler Mannheim
Volume:
$750
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional ice hockey match in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) between ERC Ingolstadt and Adler Mannheim scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (ERC Ingolstadt win and Adler Mannheim win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot be settled fairly as written because both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi: does the second condition resolve to No, or is there a missing third resolution state? Avoid trading Kalshi until the contradiction is formally corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to "ERC Ingolstadt" if Ingolstadt wins, "Adler Mannheim" if Mannheim wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootout (one goal added to winner for shootout). Source: penny-del.org schedule.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction: states both "If ERC Ingolstadt wins... resolves to Yes" AND "If Adler Mannheim wins... resolves to Yes". No resolution path for No outcome or tie scenario is defined. This makes settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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