TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Adler Mannheim
Description
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for April 26 at 10:30AM ET: If Eisbaeren Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Eisbaeren Berlin". If Adler Mannheim win, the market will resolve to "Adler Mannheim". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Berlin win and Mannheim win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's binary resolution logic is clear and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until the contradiction is clarified. The market as currently described cannot be settled fairly because both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution state. Request official clarification from Kalshi that the second condition should resolve to No. Polymarket offers a safe, unambiguous alternative.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to "Eisbaeren Berlin" if Berlin wins, "Adler Mannheim" if Mannheim wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Key quote: 'If Eisbaeren Berlin win, the market will resolve to Eisbaeren Berlin. If Adler Mannheim win, the market will resolve to Adler Mannheim.'
- Kalshi: Contradictory Yes/Yes structure: states both 'If Eisbären Berlin wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Adler Mannheim wins...resolves to Yes', creating logical impossibility. No mention of postponement or cancellation handling. Key quote: 'If Eisbären Berlin wins...resolves to Yes. If Adler Mannheim wins...resolves to Yes.'
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