TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburg
Volume:
$251
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional ice hockey match in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) between Augsburger Panther and Grizzlys Wolfsburg scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Augsburger Panther win and Grizzlys Wolfsburg win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this is clarified with their support team. The market as documented cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome structure with two distinct resolution paths. Augsburger Panther victory resolves to 'Augsburger Panther', Grizzlys Wolfsburg victory resolves to 'Grizzlys Wolfsburg'. Handles edge cases (postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50). Final score includes overtime and shootout (one goal added to winner in shootout case).
- Kalshi: Defective binary structure. Both winning outcomes are mapped to Yes resolution: 'If Augsburger Panther wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Grizzlys Wolfsburg wins... resolves to Yes.' This leaves no logical path to No resolution and makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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