TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Loewen Frankfurt
Volume:
$872
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between Adler Mannheim and Loewen Frankfurt scheduled for March 4, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a tautological contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Loewen Frankfurt win OR Adler Mannheim win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market logically unresolvable and creating guaranteed settlement failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution criteria are internally contradictory and will result in settlement disputes regardless of the actual game outcome. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome structure with clear mutually exclusive resolutions. Resolves to team name of winner. Includes explicit handling for postponements (market remains open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Overtime and shootout goals counted toward final score.
- Kalshi: Defective tautological logic: both possible outcomes (Loewen Frankfurt wins OR Adler Mannheim wins) resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible, as the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive game outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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