TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Eisbaeren Berlin
Description
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for April 28 at 1:30PM ET: If Adler Mannheim win, the market will resolve to "Adler Mannheim". If Eisbaeren Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Eisbaeren Berlin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Eisbären Berlin win OR Adler Mannheim win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market as described is fundamentally broken. Before trading, contact Kalshi support to confirm the actual resolution logic. Polymarket's market is clear and resolvable; it is the safer choice. If Kalshi intended a binary Yes/No on Eisbären Berlin victory, the description is severely misleading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: resolves to Adler Mannheim if they win, Eisbären Berlin if they win. Postponement extends market; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime and shootout (one goal added to winner in shootout case).
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states both 'If Eisbären Berlin wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Adler Mannheim wins... resolves to Yes.' No outcome path leads to No resolution, making the market logically unresolvable.
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