TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. EHC Red Bull Muenchen
Volume:
$6,082
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between Adler Mannheim and EHC Red Bull Munich scheduled for April 8, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets around the outcome of this game, with slightly different market structures and resolution criteria.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Red Bull Munich win OR Adler Mannheim win) resolve to Yes, leaving the No outcome with no valid resolution path. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The Yes/No structure contradicts itself by mapping both teams' victories to Yes. Polymarket's binary winner-based resolution is the only logically consistent market for this event. Wait for Kalshi to correct their market description before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner. Handles postponements (market stays open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Includes shootout scoring rule. Logically sound.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market with contradictory resolution criteria. Both Red Bull Munich victory AND Adler Mannheim victory are stated to resolve to Yes. No valid condition maps to No resolution. This creates an unresolvable market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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