TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
D.C. United SC vs. FC Dallas
Volume:
$319,290
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
D.C. United SC and FC Dallas will compete in an MLS regular season match on April 4, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: D.C. United win, FC Dallas win, or draw. All three platforms offer complementary binary markets covering these mutually exclusive outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three separate binary markets (one for each outcome: DC United win, Dallas win, or tie), each resolving independently to Yes. Polymarket presents three separate binary markets (DC United win, draw, Dallas win), each resolving to Yes or No based on that specific outcome. The fundamental difference is that Kalshi's structure implies all three markets resolve Yes simultaneously (one for each possible outcome), while Polymarket's structure ensures exactly one market resolves Yes and the other two resolve No, depending on the actual match result.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, understand that all three outcome markets are designed to resolve Yes—one for each possible result. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve Yes based on the actual match outcome. Do not assume cross-platform parity; Kalshi's market structure is outcome-agnostic (all three can settle), while Polymarket's is mutually exclusive (only one settles Yes).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers three independent binary markets, each resolving to Yes if its corresponding outcome occurs (DC United win, Dallas win, or tie). The rules state 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' for each of the three outcomes, implying all three markets can resolve Yes depending on which outcome actually occurs. Key quote: 'If DC United wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (DC United win Yes/No, draw Yes/No, Dallas win Yes/No), where exactly one will resolve Yes and the others No based on the actual match result. Each market independently resolves to Yes only if that specific outcome occurs, otherwise No. Key quote: 'If D.C. United SC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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