TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawks
Volume:
$959,426
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Dayton Flyers and UNCW Seahawks on March 21 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (both Dayton win and UNCW win), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Dayton Flyers' or 'UNCW Seahawks' based on the actual game winner, with consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios across all markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical error: both resolution conditions (Dayton wins OR UNCW wins) map to YES, meaning the market will always resolve YES regardless of outcome. This violates basic binary market logic. All Polymarket markets are resolvable and consistent with standard sports betting rules.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. Both resolution conditions ('If Dayton wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If UNC Wilmington wins... resolves to Yes') map to the same outcome (YES), making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Resolves to 'Dayton Flyers' if Dayton wins, 'UNCW Seahawks' if UNCW wins. All 24 markets (moneyline, spreads at -1.5 to -16.5, and over/unders from 136.5 to 150.5) use consistent game-final-score settlement with identical postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split) rules. 'Result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.