TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders
Volume:
$341,233
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Dayton Flyers and Richmond Spiders scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Richmond. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points scored across multiple over/under lines.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Dayton win and Richmond win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket offers multiple spread thresholds (-4.5 and -5.5) and over/under lines (144.5, 145.5, 146.5) that create SKU fragmentation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline - it is logically broken. Use Polymarket moneyline as the source of truth for winner determination. For spread and total markets, carefully verify which specific threshold you are trading, as Polymarket offers three distinct over/under lines and two spread variants. All markets resolve based on final score including overtime, with 50-50 split resolution if game is canceled with no makeup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Dayton win and Richmond win resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable logical contradiction. No clear winner determination mechanism provided.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Dayton Flyers or Richmond Spiders). Offers three distinct over/under lines (144.5, 145.5, 146.5) and two spread variants (-4.5 requiring 5+ point win, -5.5 requiring 6+ point win). All resolve based on final score including overtime; postponed games remain open, canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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