TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders
kalshi
polymarket

Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders

Volume:
$341,233

Dayton

 - Kalshi

Dayton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dayton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$192,167
N/A
N/A
$107,063
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Richmond

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,967
N/A
N/A
$34,494
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 144.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Dayton Flyers and Richmond Spiders scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Richmond. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points scored across multiple over/under lines.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Dayton win and Richmond win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket offers multiple spread thresholds (-4.5 and -5.5) and over/under lines (144.5, 145.5, 146.5) that create SKU fragmentation.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline - it is logically broken. Use Polymarket moneyline as the source of truth for winner determination. For spread and total markets, carefully verify which specific threshold you are trading, as Polymarket offers three distinct over/under lines and two spread variants. All markets resolve based on final score including overtime, with 50-50 split resolution if game is canceled with no makeup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Dayton win and Richmond win resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable logical contradiction. No clear winner determination mechanism provided.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Dayton Flyers or Richmond Spiders). Offers three distinct over/under lines (144.5, 145.5, 146.5) and two spread variants (-4.5 requiring 5+ point win, -5.5 requiring 6+ point win). All resolve based on final score including overtime; postponed games remain open, canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.